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Model Performance

Evaluate and monitor the real predictive performance of the demand-forecasting model across key metrics — every section below is either live data or clearly marked as not.

Model
Region
Horizon
48h (native, fixed)
Target
Total Demand (MW)
No real walk-forward eval logged yet for the Production version.
Overall Accuracy (wMAPE)
Bias (ME)
not logged for this eval run yet
RMSE
Coverage (P10–P90)
target 80%
Prediction Interval Width
mean P90−P10

Accuracy by Horizon

Real weighted MAPE (%) across real horizon steps, NEM — GET /v1/forecast/recent-actual-vs-predicted

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Accuracy by Region

Real walk-forward MAPE (%), full horizon — this model vs. real seasonal-naive baseline

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Forecast Reliability (Calibration)

How well the real prediction intervals capture real actual demand

No coverage metric available.

Error Distribution

Real histogram of (actual − forecast) / actual, NEM, last 7 real days

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Model vs Benchmark

Real Production evaluation for each real architecture, plus the real seasonal-naive baseline

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Performance Over Time

Real avg walk-forward MAPE per evaluate run, lstm_demand

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Model Health Score

Real, computed from this page's own real inputs — formula disclosed below

Not enough real inputs yet.

Accuracyno data
Calibrationno data
Driftno data
Stabilityno data
Data Qualityno data

35% accuracy (vs. naive baseline) + 15% calibration (coverage vs. target) + 15% drift (top-3 PSI) + 15% stability (MAPE variance across real evaluate runs) + 20% data quality (real 24h pass rate, GET /v1/data-quality/summary/public) — reweighted across whichever components have a real value.

Recent Alerts & Events

Built from this page's own real computed states — not sample text

Not enough real data yet to compute any event.